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It is narrowing, part III

Posted: Sat Nov 01, 2008 12:39 pm
by Vonz90
http://www.usaelectionpolls.com/2008/zo ... polls.html
Half of Zogby's current national poll average was taken after Obama's infomercial ... and here are his preliminary findings.

No evidence that Obama benefited from the infomercial.
Obama's support dropped 1.1%, McCain's gained 0.8%.
The last day of polling had McCain winning 48% to 47%. Zogby cautions us to wait until tomorrow to see if McCain really has traction.
Pollster John Zogby: "Is McCain making a move? The three-day average holds steady, but McCain outpolled Obama today, 48% to 47%. He is beginning to cut into Obama's lead among independents, is now leading among blue collar voters, has strengthened his lead among investors and among men, and is walloping Obama among NASCAR voters. Joe the Plumber may get his license after all. "Obama's lead among women declined, and it looks like it is occurring because McCain is solidifying the support of conservative women, which is something we saw last time McCain picked up in the polls. If McCain has a good day tomorrow, we will eliminate Obama's good day three days ago, and we could really see some tightening in this rolling average. But for now, hold on."

Re: It is narrowing, part III

Posted: Sat Nov 01, 2008 1:22 pm
by jetfxr69
Something squirrely with that link.

Re: It is narrowing, part III

Posted: Sat Nov 01, 2008 3:14 pm
by FelixEstrella
Yeah, looks like the OP's link is back to this thread. ;-)

Try this one:

http://www.rightpundits.com/?p=2309

Re: It is narrowing, part III

Posted: Sat Nov 01, 2008 3:14 pm
by Vonz90
Sorry for that. Link is fixed.

Re: It is narrowing, part III

Posted: Sat Nov 01, 2008 4:17 pm
by Termite
I think Obama stepped in it big time with "Joe the Plumber".
Then there's the "less than $250K", then "less than $200K", then Biden saying "less than $150K". Will "$100K" be next? :shock: That would start cutting into a lot of liberal and moderate "DINK's"*.
And Hilliary's "PUMA's" aren't helping Obama either.

* Double Income No Kids

Re: It is narrowing, part III

Posted: Sat Nov 01, 2008 4:54 pm
by FelixEstrella
Termite wrote:I think Obama stepped in it big time with "Joe the Plumber".
Then there's the "less than $250K", then "less than $200K", then Biden saying "less than $150K". Will "$100K" be next? :shock: That would start cutting into a lot of liberal and moderate "DINK's"*.
And Hilliary's "PUMA's" aren't helping Obama either.

* Double Income No Kids
Sad testament really. "As long as I don't get affected by a tax increase, I don't care!"

Re: It is narrowing, part III

Posted: Sat Nov 01, 2008 5:15 pm
by Termite
FelixEstrella wrote: Sad testament really. "As long as I don't get affected by a tax increase, I don't care!"
Ahhh.....but they WILL go up, even if you make less than $100K. All Obama has to do is make sure the Bush tax cuts "sunset". I've done the math, and if they are allowed to expire, then my federal taxes go up well over $2000/yr. McCain has said he wants to make them permanent.

Also, in 2011 the Estate tax(inherantance tax) rates return to pre-2005 levels.

Re: It is narrowing, part III

Posted: Sun Nov 02, 2008 4:31 am
by Flintlock Tom
With a margin of error of 3-4%, how can anyone make claims of "McCain outpolled Obama today, 48% to 47%"? Or "Obama's support dropped 1.1%, McCain's gained 0.8%"?

Re: It is narrowing, part III

Posted: Sun Nov 02, 2008 4:52 am
by Jered
Termite wrote:
FelixEstrella wrote: Sad testament really. "As long as I don't get affected by a tax increase, I don't care!"
Ahhh.....but they WILL go up, even if you make less than $100K. All Obama has to do is make sure the Bush tax cuts "sunset". I've done the math, and if they are allowed to expire, then my federal taxes go up well over $2000/yr. McCain has said he wants to make them permanent.

Also, in 2011 the Estate tax(inherantance tax) rates return to pre-2005 levels.
Another Obama spokesperson has dropped the "rich" rate down to $120k per year.

Re: It is narrowing, part III

Posted: Sun Nov 02, 2008 6:04 am
by Dub_James
I've started calling Obama's descending cutoff figure "Slinky Economics"

By the time you get a good look at it, it's already on it's way down again.